Early Assessment of COVID-19 epidemiology and Vaccine/anti-viral Effectiveness (EAVE II) https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/6/e039097 https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=MC_PC_19075 https://www.ed.ac.uk/usher/eave-ii/key-outputs/scottish-vaccine-roll-out-working-data-suggests https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/19107740.coronavirus-scotland-vaccination-linked-substantial-reduction-hospital-admissions/ Public health Scotland Dataset covering Scottish population of 5.4 million A unique reference number for every individual Link datasets, construct electronic cohort 1.2m individuals (22% of the population) Safe haven data Fourth week after first dose, reduced risk of hospitalisation 8 December to 15 February 1.14 million vaccines doses 21% per cent of population Pfizer, down 84% (n = 650,000) Oxford-AstraZeneca, down 94% (n = 490,000) Combined reduction in over 80s Vaccination associated with 81% reduction in hospitalisation risk in the fourth week UK easing https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-56148160 England, schools reopen 8 March Six from 2 households outside Care home residents, one regular visitor Outside area trave, 29th March Five week gaps Four conditions Vaccine programme continues to go to plan Vaccines reducing hospitalisations and deaths Infection rates do not risk a surge in hospital admissions New variants do not fundamentally change the risk of lifting restrictions Four tests are currently being met Rapid drop in cases slows down https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#related-news https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/rapid-drop-in-cases-slows-down February 19, 2021 Peak of 69,000 daily new cases around the 1st January Based on data from 14,875 antigen tests Cases now down by 80% Current prevalence,1 in 294 people in the UK currently have symptomatic COVID UK R value is 0.9 England, 0.9 Wales, 1.0 Scotland, 1.0 Highest risk areas in the UK Lancashire, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, 1 in 277 Greater Manchester, 1 in 287 Liverpool City Region, 1 in 337 Cases rising, 20-39 Cases falling, 60+

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